Sunday, May 31, 2009
Here's OTM's coverage:
Saturday, May 30, 2009
Then Nate Silver went to work:
A meme that is currently picking up traction in the conservative blogosphere is that the list of dealerships to be shuttered as a result of Chrysler's bankruptcy contains a disproportionate number donors to Republican candidates. There have been furious efforts to prove this contention by looking up campaign contributor lists at the Huffington Post, Open Secrets, and other places.KO has fun with the corpse of this idiotic meme:
There is just one problem with this theory. Nobody has bothered to look up data for the control group: the list of dealerships which aren't being closed. It turns out that all car dealers are, in fact, overwhelmingly more likely to donate to Republicans than to Democrats -- not just those who are having their doors closed.
What do you think?
Remember, we've seen this before and frankly, I never got an answer back when this turd dropped:
Friday, May 29, 2009
Thursday, May 28, 2009
A new poll out from Gallup shows a plurality of Americans have a generally favorable opinion of the Sotomayor nomination. In a survey taken Tuesday night, after the announcement was made, 19 percent of respondents rated the pick as "excellent," while 28 percent said it was "good." By contrast, 20 percent said it was "only fair" and just 13 percent rated it as "poor." Another 20 percent of those polled had no opinion.Gotta love the no opinion crowd.
She's also faring well in a Rassmussen poll.
The problem is, we don't know which detainees are really terrorists. Peters admits that he doesn't care. Well, good for him, but that is fucked up. Some of these people were sold into detention by locals with a grudge or out to make a quick buck.
A highly disputed report that says 1 in 7 terror detainees that were released from Guantanamo are suspected to or confirmed to have returned to militant activities. That means 6 out of 7 were released and did not participate in militant activities. Wouldn't that mean they probably weren't terrorists in the first place? Doesn't matter to Col. Peters.
Wednesday, May 27, 2009
So, will Arlen Specter make a big move to the left in order to thwart this challenge, knowing that no matter how far left he runs, he'll still be able to have the center to himself in the general election? A crucial indicator will be Specter's final stance on EFCA. He's talking compromise, which will likely end in him endorsing the bill and voting for it and smiling while he does it, kinda like his reaction to the president's nomination of Sonia Sotomayor. The unions are waiting.
Tonight Specter makes his debut as a limosine liberal at a swanky DNC fundraiser in L.A. I never get invited to anything.... [sigh]. Wonkette provides supplemental snark.
Tuesday, May 26, 2009
Huffington Post's Dylan Loewe has his finger on it:
Should she be confirmed, Sotomayor will be the first Hispanic on the bench, chosen at a time when the Hispanic vote has emerged as a critical component to sustaining a Democratic majority over the long-term... In the wake of an anti-immigrant nativism that came to define the Republican presidential nominating contests, Obama won two-thirds of the Hispanic vote, fourteen points higher than John Kerry's share four years earlier... Obama may stand to gain more, not from corralling a majority of Democrats to vote in favor of Sotomayor, but from inspiring the most virulent elements of the Republican party to oppose her... [I]f they follow through, if they do decide to spend the next two and half months waging an impossible fight against a nominee whose confirmation is all but guaranteed, they may cause permanent damage. If the Hispanic community abandons the Republican party altogether, the Republican party can abandon any hope of regaining power in American politics.Lowe goes on to point out that Sotomayor was nominated by for the federal bench by President George H.W. Bush. she was also previously confirmed by 8 Republicans that are still in the Senate. The unreasonable act is going to look more anti-hispanic and anti-woman than it will anti-Democrat.
A ruling from the California Supreme Court on Prop 8 is expected at 1pm Eastern, 10am Pacific. Stay tuned.
Monday, May 25, 2009
Here's my post about it from last year.
Saturday, May 23, 2009
So far indications are mixed about whether Pakistan's army can handle the overspill. The Times Online rpeorts that the Pakistani army has taken an important hill. Meanwhile, The Washington Post reports that the Taliban still hold some large towns nearly a month into a massive military offensive by the Pakistani army.
Friday, May 22, 2009
This is what Dick Cheney calls keeping us safe? Can you imagine what will happen when the first documented case of a terror detainee Barack Obama allows to be released returning to "militant activity" appears? I'll tell you this, John Boehner and Glenn Beck will cry.
Incidentally, many civil liberties groups dispute the Pentagon's findings. The report is expected to be released very soon, since there are quite a few organizations that have filed requests for it under the Freedom of Information Act.
Thursday, May 21, 2009
Wednesday, May 20, 2009
In his evaluation of the move, Loewe looks at the landscape for the 2012 election. He makes a very bold claim:
Anyone smart enough, capable enough to compete against Obama is going to be smart enough not to run. When Obama kicks off his re-election campaign, he'll do so with a two million member donor base already in place. He'll do so with over one million volunteers ready to be reactivated. In his first month, he'll likely raise more than $100 million dollars. His re-election will dwarf his first campaign is size and scope, just as his first campaign dwarfed its online fundraising predecessor in Howard Dean. Just with sheer organization, President Obama will be the most difficult presidential incumbent to defeat in American history.I've always seen Obama as being secure based entirely on the fact that he has absolutely no viable opposition on the horizon. But Loewe is right, Obama's edge is just as much in his campaign machine as it is in the vaporization of moderate Republican challengers.
Tuesday, May 19, 2009
Anyway, in this clip he gives credit to Senator Byron Dorgan for absolutely nailing it in 1999 when he said that in ten years we would look back in regret at the deregulation of credit-default swaps. In fact he argued against the idea as early as 1994. So, none of that no-one-could-have-seen-it-coming garbage.
Monday, May 18, 2009
Not only did he fuck up the war, but he completely ignored the spirit of religious freedom in America in what looks like a naked attempt to manipulate an idiotic president. I really didn't think there was any chance this dude could be a bigger fuck-up than I thought he was. Life is full of surprises.
Of course we always knew Rummy was a titanic asshole. The feature Robert Draper wrote that accompanies the briefing covers in CQ is a must read that shows just how deeply disliked this guy was by people who were supposed to be on his side.
A little over three years ago, Rumsfeld was confronted by former CIA analyst Ray McGovern. Here is Countdown's coverage of that priceless moment:
Nicole Sandler, host of the Radio or Not podcast and frequent substitute Air America guest host, recently spoke to McGovern at length. The podcast can be downloaded here.
But don't listen to me because I'm not the most sympathetic person when it comes to Dowd. She writes some great stuff and I really like it when she's on TV speaking extemporaneously, but when she injects the physical appearance of her subjects or debunked nonsensical gossip about her subjects into her work, it can have disastrous effects. Her tone during the 2000 presidential campaign was relatively common among members of the media. She was the worst offender when it came to shitting on Al Gore for all the wrong reasons.
However, her coverage of the 2008 election was pretty good. Looking back to her words from February of 2008, is particularly interesting given the current circumstances. Remember when Barack Obama was attacked relentlessly by conservatives, the media and the Clinton campaign for what they were calling plagiarism? Guess who had something to say about it? Maureen Dowd, that's who.
Here's some of what Dowd wrote (I assume):
Doin’ it her way, Hillary huffed to reporters on her plane: “If your whole candidacy is about words, they should be your own words.”RealClearPolitics blogger Tom Bevan wonders if a conservative like Charles Krauthammer had lifted Marshall's work, would Marshall be willing to comment then? The passage in question says:
I guess that means if your whole candidacy is anti-words, you don’t have to use your own words.
The Clintons are known political cat burglars. They pilfered Republican jewels in the ’90s, and Hillary has purloined as much as she can stuff in her pantsuit from her husband and Barack Obama.
She changed to Change. She co-opted “It’s time to turn the page” and “Fired up and ready to go.” She couldn’t wait to shoplift the words “yes” and “can” from Obama’s trademark “Yes, we can!” — (which he appropriated from Cesar Chavez) — even though she was cagey enough to put them in separate slogans, “Yes, we will!” and “Americans still have that can-do spirit.”
Bill, master thief, got in on the act, too. After Obama said that his election would tell the world that America is back, Bill said that Hillary’s election would tell the world that America is back.
Although the only solid voting bloc in Wisconsin Hillary seemed to get was women over 60 years old, she did seem happy that the press had “finally,” as she put it, scrutinized him. America’s pretty boy was getting muddied up.
The Clinton camp has spent days trying to undermine Obama’s chief asset, the elegant language that has sparked a generational boom.
“We’re seeing a pattern here,” Hillary enforcer Howard Wolfson said, in a conference call with reporters Tuesday. Yeah, we are. She’s losing, and looking for anything to bruise Obama.
Obama swiped a couple distinctive riffs about words and aspirations — his supposed specialty — from his pal Deval Patrick, the governor of Massachusetts, thereby violating the new cardinal rule not only of politics but of life: Don’t do anything you don’t want to see on the top favorites of YouTube.
More and more the timeline is raising the question of why, if the torture was to prevent terrorist attacks, it seemed to happen mainly during the period when we were looking for what was essentially political information to justify the invasion of Iraq.If Krauthammer had lifted that passage, we would all be worried about hiding from alien bodysnatchers, not petty cut-and-paste malpractice.
Sunday, May 17, 2009
UPDATE: Bloggers, remember to always check your embeds, especially from YouTube, there are people out there who will post a clip claiming it's one thing, for example: this speech, then halfway in they sneak attack with disgusting propaganda. Not on my watch, mother bitches!
Saturday, May 16, 2009
Tommy's post about the exchange at PD can be read here.
Friday, May 15, 2009
Thursday, May 14, 2009
"The training, which leaders say is not intended to be applied outside the simulated Explorer setting, can involve chasing down illegal border crossers as well as more dangerous situations that include facing down terrorists and taking out "active shooters" like those who bring gunfire and death to college campuses."
Which reminded me that Tim McVeigh was a registered Republican, Army veteran, security guard and former Boy Scout. McVeigh was also a 2nd Amendment advocate, took guns to school to impress classmates and read Soldier of Fortune magazine.
Wednesday, May 13, 2009
My theory is that he's doing what an awful poker player does. He goes over the top every hand no matter what cards he has. Right now he's looking at this:
Then flapping his flippers and squacking, "Meh, I'm all in, meh!"
Tuesday, May 12, 2009
Tommy Christopher has a broader look at the ongoing back and forth between Janeane and the boys at Fox.
Monday, May 11, 2009
So, since we're in an economic freefall--at least, depending on who you ask--the newest GOP talking point, already pinging around the echo chamber and out the pie-hole of Rush Limbaugh, is that Obama is raising unemployment on purpose so that we can become more socialistic. Though the study linked above indactes that would make most of us happier, I somehow doubt that the President has any plans of trying to get re-elected with ten to twelve percent unemployment. Thanks for playing, schmucks.
What is truly annoying about this meme is that just two days after being flambayed by Wanda Sykes for saying he hopes the President fails, Limbaugh is now propping up a deranged conspiracy theory that has the President himself somehow hoping to fail in order to usher in socialism.
This kind of thing makes it very difficult for me to feel any sympathy for Limbaugh just because a comedian called him out for his shitty attitude with some highly inappropriate 9/11 "humor". God forbid anyone should give this asshole a small taste of what he dishes out daily.
Still, for as cutting as Sykes may have tried to be, the sharpest moment of the night in my opinion, the joke with some real animosity behind it, was when President Obama called out Michael Steele. The subtle jab was played off by Steele as "good love," but the President's demeanor carried a great deal of racial subtext that I'm not capable of articulating.
At the end of the joke-cluster, Obama told Steele that Rush Limbaugh did not qualify as a troubled asset. And Steele laughed. Oh yes. It's on tape. How long before Steele apologizes to Rush for that?
Sunday, May 10, 2009
Continues! [He get's serious near the end, and so will I, but still, watch.]
The guy has charm and wit all over the place. The country's favorable/unfavorable numbers are all moving in the right direction, save for those few dinosaurs who just can't cope.
"Tone At The Top" is a subject that I think is really overlooked, and Obama does it very well. Bush? HAHAHAHAHA! Puh-LEASE.
There's just a few things Mr. O, that you need to REALLY pay attention to. The whole "torture" thing and especially the whole "states secrets" thing. You didn't get to them in your funny business, but they remain funny business.
Step up and do the right thing on both issues.
Yes, You can.
TAGS: Obama WH Dinner, SUX2BREPUBLICAN, YESYOUCAN, Where the hell was Colbert, hmmmm?
Saturday, May 09, 2009
Here's a look back at Dubya's debate performance in 2000 against Alan Keyes and John McCain, moderated by Larry King. This is some serious bullshit:
Friday, May 08, 2009
Thursday, May 07, 2009
Even I'm starting to cringe at the woeful state of the Republican Party. This is such a selfish mov3e by Limbaugh. It clearly benefits Democrats, Limbaugh and maybe even Powell at the expense of the what's left of the Republican Party.
Meanwhile, the Democrats are managing to look less divided than they actually are. President Obama's most brilliant move as a politician was to gravitate to the center of his own, suddenly bloated, party. His politics truly are the politics of bipartisanship, but it's the bi-partisanship of the DLC and the progressive caucus. By putting the center there, he has reinstated the true center of American politics. I will not be surprised if the Democratic Party splits when the unifying force of his presidency is removed.
Then the era of the Bull Moose begins, anew.
Assuming the new poll is accurate, then order has been restored to the universe. Arlen Specter read the Republican electorate in Pennsylvania correctly--they have moved to the right, so much so that even a popular Pennsylvania Republican like Ridge could beat the ultra-con Toomey.
It looks like the polls are academic; Ridge is not running.
Wednesday, May 06, 2009
Tuesday, May 05, 2009
That call for a dedication: here's "Loose Lips" by Kimya Dawson:
David Kurtz makes the arguement that Specter was kidding. That's a very good possibility. You know is not kidding? Rep. Joe Sestak, Specter's likely opponent in a Democratic primary, is who. Here he is making his case:
On the other side of the equation, a new poll shows Tom Ridge leading Pat Toomey 60-23. Conventional wisdom was that the enourmouslead Toomey held over Specter was due to the Republican electorate moving far to the right. Ridge, however, is far more moderate than Toomey. Maybe this whole thing comes down to this--Pennsylvania's just not that into him.
Monday, May 04, 2009
You would be hard pressed to find a bigger fan of Al Gore than I. But Gore--who would probably balk at the offer--is too big for the Supreme Court. Gore's job in politics is to evangelize on behalf of the environment. For every poisonous South Park broadside against him, there's a class full of students at every level that now takes the environment seriously.
The biggest objection to putting Al Gore on the Supreme Court, I assume, would be that he’s not a lawyer. But is this really a bug rather than a feature? Gore spent sixteen years in Congress, where he helped make the laws, and eight as Vice-President, where he took care that the laws were faithfully executed. His perspective would fill some giant blind spots on the present Court, which is made up entirely of former federal appeals-court judges who have little or no political experience, have never been elected to anything, and have a strikingly narrow experience of life in general.
A law degree is probably a helpful credential, all other things being equal, for a trial judge or an appeals-court judge. But it is far from essential in a Justice of the Supreme Court. The heart of a Justice’s job is interpreting and applying the Constitution, and for that things like a knowledge of history (including Constitutional history), a feel for the workings of government, a strong moral sense, an ability to think and write clearly, and a temperamental affinity for the long view—all of which Gore has in spades—are much more important than a professional familiarity with the details of contract or case law. Gore would make a superb addition to the Court. And, of course, it is pleasant to imagine the opportunity his appointment would afford the four remaining members of the Bush v. Gore junta, especially Antonin “Get Over It” Scalia, to contemplate and, perhaps, repent of their sins.
As Hertzberg points out in his article, picking Gore would mean sacrificing longevity. Gore's not an old man, but you could expect decades more tenure from another selection. I'm willing to take the trade if President Obama decides the country needs Justice Gore. But like Hertzberg, I believe it's very unlikely.
Sunday, May 03, 2009
Is Mr. Truman a war criminal? Legally a war crime includes the "wanton destruction of cities, towns and villages, and any devastation not justified by military, or civilian necessity." To be sure historians over the past six decades have debated whether the atomic bombings were a "military necessity." The landscape of the debate (see this for a nice survey) includes the number of U.S. casualties following a land invasion of Japan, the leanings of Emperor Hirohito towards a surrender prior to August 1945, and the ability of Japan to maintain meaningful defense through the end of 1945, the weight placed by the Truman administration on anticipated post-war diplomacy with the Soviets; just to name a few. If he'd been taken to court my guess is that Truman would have been found not-guilty shortly after the Chicago Tribune headline "Truman Found Guilty" was published.
So it's debatable whether Mr. Truman did or did not commit a war crime. Maybe it was just a boring old regular crime. The kind of crime you shrug your shoulders about, say "that's some fucked up shit" and thank The Hague you won. What's that? Not ratified? Sweet.
Saturday, May 02, 2009
Friday, May 01, 2009
- He did not feel compelled to share the ideology of the president who nominated him
- He didn't retire last year
Craig Crawford has an interesting article about Souter's independent streak rearing it's head at his confirmation hearings.
According to Jefferey Toobin (via Wikipedia), Souter was profoundly changed by Bush v. Gore:
Toughened, or coarsened, by their worldly lives, the other dissenters could shrug and move on, but Souter couldn’t. His whole life was being a judge. He came from a tradition where the independence of the judiciary was the foundation of the rule of law. And Souter believed Bush v. Gore mocked that tradition. His colleagues’ actions were so transparently, so crudely partisan that Souter thought he might not be able to serve with them anymore. Souter seriously considered resigning. For many months, it was not at all clear whether he would remain as a justice. That the Court met in a city he loathed made the decision even harder. At the urging of a handful of close friends, he decided to stay on, but his attitude toward the Court was never the same. There were times when David Souter thought of Bush v. Gore and wept.Seems like it's not a far leap to say that Souter decided in the wake of Bush v. Gore that he would not allow the beneficiary of the case he considered to be nothing short of the bane of American Justice to fill his seat on the court. I find that deeply touching.
It's way too early to start predicting who the White House will choose. I think it's almost politically mandatory that a woman get the next seat. I only ask that when the administration makes its choice that they take a look at the person's tax records with the Hubble Telescope. After Daschle, Geithner and several other fully or partially botched nominations, the White House has to show that it can vet properly.
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